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Monday, July 16, 2012

Historic Drought

de bene esse: literally, of well-being, morally acceptable but subject to future validation or exception


Only in the 1930s and 1950s has a drought covered more land. Although there's little risk of a Dust Bowl catastrophe, crop losses could mount if rain doesn't come soon. 

The percentage of affected land is the largest since December 1956, when 58 percent of the U.S. was covered by drought, and it rivals even some years in the Dust Bowl era of the 1930s, though experts point out that this year's weather has been milder than that period, and farming practices have vastly improved since then.

Monday's report was based on data going back to 1895 called the Palmer Drought Index and feeds into the widely watched and more detailed U.S. Drought Monitor, which reported last week that 61 percent of the continental U.S. was in a moderate to exceptional drought. However, the weekly Drought Monitor goes back only 12 years, so climatologists use the Palmer Drought Index for comparing droughts before 2000.

Climatologists have labeled this year's dry spell a "flash drought" because it developed in a matter of months, not over multiple seasons or years.

The current drought is similar to the droughts of the 1950s, which weren't as intense as those of the 1930s, said Jake Crouch, a climatologist with the National Climatic Data Center. And farming has changed a lot since the Dust Bowl era. Better soil conservation has reduced erosion, and modern hybrids are much more resistant to drought.

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